Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 741.867723 838.844924 948.296486 1081.909753 1241.887279 1428.900668 1666.468230
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 616.765451 746.410803 907.103511 1124.787603 1418.204633 1809.562267 2388.393764
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 547.516357 689.768041 876.344527 1146.202446 1539.478647 2114.347312 3065.989674
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 495.849031 644.907090 849.513615 1161.953057 1648.780702 2420.978978 3842.016748
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 447.575475 596.478166 808.192228 1145.675548 1700.947277 2644.487795 4551.024631
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 418.172529 570.275283 793.928280 1165.680411 1811.517400 2989.707033 5623.187138
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 397.467984 553.834325 791.163723 1201.863328 1954.681861 3431.108209 7107.530587
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 374.763350 531.639381 776.167119 1214.146515 2055.527261 3816.979257 8675.604572
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 350.187267 504.018724 749.052027 1200.595323 2102.989249 4102.038697 10151.296427
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 334.913775 489.606021 741.864956 1221.483420 2223.362543 4592.067823 12608.000857
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 311.507910 460.032160 705.985934 1183.407353 2210.901980 4751.933534 14074.472807
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 291.945926 435.322274 676.264929 1153.400965 2210.672138 4945.322799 15853.755329
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 271.070339 407.828160 640.816159 1110.953297 2182.062722 5075.951948 17637.243212
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 263.784156 402.912974 645.519105 1151.147281 2360.494528 5894.315808 23906.508150
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 254.859287 394.321193 642.402377 1174.165979 2502.048721 6671.527130 31572.989784
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 245.815195 384.781534 636.506120 1190.230056 2630.093617 7477.686889 41635.664295
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 233.740950 368.959802 617.130872 1173.465504 2664.280623 7957.801278 50654.095511
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 226.817261 361.948945 614.243994 1194.113323 2811.874449 8993.386795 69938.285518
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 222.086331 358.583599 618.205852 1231.487463 3021.368633 10467.736838 105473.330171
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 215.215807 350.741200 612.362226 1244.176717 3157.754953 11716.619743 151270.736003
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 206.370712 338.615657 596.686033 1230.177223 3202.826846 12532.373571 199969.555078
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 201.293634 333.362318 594.951741 1251.757187 3378.388752 14283.795810 322233.614508
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 191.399712 318.253152 571.143213 1212.422986 3325.041069 14565.288213 391931.490168